|
By Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital
|
|
Sunday, 14 February 2010 09:45 |
|
Over the past three or four years a strange phenomenon has developed in the global investment markets. With some exceptions, many asset classes, in particular domestic and foreign equities, commodities, and foreign currencies have tended to move in the same direction on a day to day basis. The mega-correlation has lasted so long that most now take it for granted. This leaves investors with relatively simple choices: when to get in to the market in general and when to park assets in cash and U.S. Treasuries.
However, few recall that this pattern is relatively new in the annals of financial history. Fewer still realize the reason for the current anomaly. From my perspective the most logical explanation is fear, which has become global, pervasive, and persistent. Traditionally, when investors fear inflation they buy stocks, commodities, gold, and foreign currencies, and sell dollars and U.S. treasuries. When they fear deflation they sell stocks, commodities, gold, and foreign currencies, and buy dollars and U.S. treasuries. The problem is that right now, no one knows which one to fear. Depending on the news the pendulum swings from one extreme to another on a daily basis.
|
|
Last Updated ( Sunday, 14 February 2010 19:12 )
|
|
Read more...
|
|
By Tyler Durden, ZeroHedge
|
|
Saturday, 13 February 2010 09:16 |
|
Download PDF
|
|
Posted by Administrator
|
|
Saturday, 13 February 2010 09:13 |
|
Download PDF
|
|
Frank Shostak
|
|
Friday, 12 February 2010 08:36 |
|
Mises Daily
Real GDP increased at an annual rate of 5.7% in Q4 after rising by 2.2% in Q3 — the quickest pace in more than six years. This was above Wall Street economists' forecast for a 4.6% increase in Q4. The yearly rate of growth of real GDP climbed to 0.1% in Q4 from −2.6% in Q3. The yearly rate of growth of GDP at current prices, i.e., nominal GDP increased by 0.8% in Q4 from −2.1% in the prior quarter.
The bounce in the growth momentum of both real and nominal GDP is due to the Fed's massive money expansion. However, a sharp fall in the growth momentum of real AMS[1] poses a threat to the growth momentum of GDP in quarters ahead.
Most economists, including the White House chief economist Christina Romer, hailed the Q4 GDP data as "the most positive news to date on the economy."
|
|
Read more...
|